0x2454dCE86764eAa880C3487A5DF96A46f9E60c55-1764581851928
0x2454dce86764eaa880c3487a5df96a46f9e60c55
- Realised P&L
- $-588.43
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $410.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-29.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.915 | $258.90 | +$9.90 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.300 | 0.365 | $121.67 | +$21.67 |
| Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.383 | 0.115 | $30.00 | −$70.00 |
| Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? · No | 0.207 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.721 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$450.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-19 10:22 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999997 | $249.00 |
| 02-13 09:50 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.2999999982 | $100.00 |
| 01-30 22:17 | Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3833195058 | $100.00 |
| 01-30 22:01 | Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | BUY | 0.2073263717 | $100.00 |
| 01-30 21:48 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7212745015 | $450.00 |