PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2454dCE86764eAa880C3487A5DF96A46f9E60c55-1764581851928

0x2454dce86764eaa880c3487a5df96a46f9e60c55

Realised P&L
$-588.43
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
5
Open portfolio
$410.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-29.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded5
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration63.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.915$258.90+$9.90
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3000.365$121.67+$21.67
Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3830.115$30.00$70.00
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? · No0.2070.000$0.00$100.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · No0.7210.000$0.00$450.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-19 10:22Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8799999997$249.00
02-13 09:50Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.2999999982$100.00
01-30 22:17Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3833195058$100.00
01-30 22:01Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?BUY0.2073263717$100.00
01-30 21:48Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.7212745015$450.00