bb999
0x2453279513a4688ccd28eb54595b3de6c59b9fb2
- Realised P&L
- $-574.46
- Volume
- $400.1k
- Markets traded
- 69
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded69
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.833 | 0.922 | $2.2k | +$209.22 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.945 | $1.0k | +$5.32 |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.780 | $975.10 | −$24.90 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.910 | $767.21 | +$42.15 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.970 | 0.956 | $492.81 | −$7.19 |
| Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.946 | $314.42 | −$7.82 |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? · No | 0.970 | 0.964 | $298.18 | −$1.82 |
| Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No | 0.986 | 0.974 | $197.57 | −$2.43 |
| Extended listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE? · Yes | 0.701 | 0.370 | $147.86 | −$132.28 |
| Extended listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE? · Yes | 0.696 | 0.655 | $130.40 | −$8.14 |
| DOW hits 50k by January 23, 2026? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$70.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$226.91at 0.978SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
- +$197.39at 0.990SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T?
- +$181.72at 0.990EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
- +$167.62at 0.984Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?
- +$131.02at 0.987SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 02:06 | Extended listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.4432352941 | $30.14 |
| 10-30 02:04 | Predict.fun FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9699476228 | $500.00 |
| 10-30 02:00 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.94 | $1000.00 |
| 10-27 07:03 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.9698739163 | $300.00 |
| 10-27 07:02 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9369999999 | $500.00 |
| 10-27 06:59 | Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.9690309671 | $322.25 |
| 10-27 06:58 | Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9859885797 | $200.00 |
| 10-27 06:57 | Extended listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.72 | $121.74 |
| 10-27 06:57 | Extended listed on Kraken within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.56 | $16.80 |
| 10-27 06:56 | Extended listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.7699019579 | $50.00 |
| 10-27 06:56 | Extended listed on Bybit within 30 days of TGE? | BUY | 0.75 | $200.00 |
| 10-27 06:55 | Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.799920008 | $1.0k |
| 10-26 11:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9519999977 | $300.14 |
| 10-26 11:37 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $725.06 |
| 10-26 11:36 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $137.60 |