oldmarket-dev
0x2437e974e106e1d47f4bccb07958d4a1d0d06f03
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $298.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration24.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? · No | 0.820 | 0.815 | $72.53 | −$0.44 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.502 | 0.519 | $70.06 | +$2.29 |
| France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.065 | $62.85 | −$82.19 |
| Will Ole Miss have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.860 | $47.30 | −$1.10 |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election? · No | 0.260 | 0.265 | $21.20 | +$0.40 |
| Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? · No | 0.840 | 0.855 | $8.60 | +$0.15 |
| Will Otzma Yehudit win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No | 0.800 | 0.761 | $7.61 | −$0.39 |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.940 | $6.12 | −$0.07 |
| Will The Tuners win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.085 | $1.27 | −$1.73 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.005 | $0.97 | −$0.09 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 03:17 | Will the Republican Party win the TX-15 House seat? | BUY | 0.82 | $72.98 |
| 10-20 01:40 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.502 | $67.77 |
| 10-19 23:54 | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $68.55 |
| 10-19 23:51 | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $23.10 |
| 10-19 23:16 | France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $53.40 |
| 10-19 23:02 | Will Ole Miss have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | BUY | 0.88 | $48.40 |
| 10-19 22:59 | Will The Tuners win Best Documentary Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.00 |
| 10-19 20:30 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election? | BUY | 0.26 | $20.80 |
| 10-19 16:13 | Will Otzma Yehudit win the fourth-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8 | $8.00 |
| 10-19 15:07 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $1.06 |
| 10-17 01:16 | SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $6.18 |
| 10-17 00:53 | Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.84 | $8.45 |