hgnucusc
0x2427edc7492f26a0531a70781f409d50ecb8cfae
- Realised P&L
- $7.84
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 28
- Open portfolio
- $88.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded28
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No | 0.622 | 0.791 | $23.73 | +$5.06 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? · No | 0.650 | 0.650 | $19.50 | +$0.00 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · No | 0.580 | 0.705 | $19.04 | +$3.38 |
| Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.121 | $17.60 | +$12.60 |
| Will Mahmoud Abbas be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.011 | $2.76 | −$2.28 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.060 | $2.00 | −$2.95 |
| Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.009 | $1.19 | +$0.19 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.025 | $1.02 | −$2.98 |
| Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.022 | $0.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? · No | 0.220 | 0.018 | $0.58 | −$6.46 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.69at 0.645Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?
- +$12.22at 0.450Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$9.79at 0.135Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?
- +$6.45at 0.120Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
- +$5.15at 0.498Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 06:29 | Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $19.50 |
| 08-15 12:29 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.515 | $5.15 |
| 08-14 21:42 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.58 | $15.66 |
| 08-10 22:02 | Will Ülle Madise be the next President of Estonia? | BUY | 0.22 | $7.04 |
| 08-08 13:43 | Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? | SELL | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 08-06 06:45 | Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0345142806 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 17:27 | Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.44 | $5.43 |
| 08-03 07:21 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.524 | $5.24 |
| 08-02 22:27 | Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 07-30 19:35 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.655 | $19.65 |
| 07-27 09:14 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR? | SELL | 0.4 | $15.33 |
| 07-23 07:30 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.95 |
| 07-16 15:38 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $20.93 |
| 07-16 13:17 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $27.30 |
| 07-13 07:53 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31? | BUY | 0.6299999916 | $18.76 |