hgnucusc
0x2427edc7492f26a0531a70781f409d50ecb8cfae
- Realised P&L
- $-11.48
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $42.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No | 0.622 | 0.561 | $22.44 | −$2.45 |
| Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? · No | 0.630 | 0.655 | $6.55 | +$0.25 |
| Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.118 | $5.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Ryan Gosling be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No | 0.405 | 0.395 | $4.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.045 | $1.48 | −$3.47 |
| Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.025 | $1.02 | −$2.98 |
| Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.004 | $0.44 | −$0.56 |
| Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.006 | $0.25 | −$0.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.14at 0.640Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31?
- +$12.22at 0.450Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$10.33at 0.130Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR?
- +$5.36at 0.488Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$2.43at 0.486Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:21 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.524 | $5.24 |
| 08-02 22:27 | Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 07-30 19:35 | Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.655 | $19.65 |
| 07-27 09:14 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR? | SELL | 0.4 | $15.33 |
| 07-23 07:30 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PNL + USR + UDMR? | BUY | 0.15 | $4.95 |
| 07-16 15:38 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $20.93 |
| 07-16 13:17 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $27.30 |
| 07-13 07:53 | Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be appointed by July 31? | BUY | 0.6299999916 | $18.76 |
| 07-09 16:04 | Will Victor Ponta be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.008 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 16:00 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + USR + UDMR? | BUY | 0.1 | $4.00 |
| 07-08 21:16 | Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 07-08 12:50 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + PNL + UDMR? | BUY | 0.1304347611 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 20:14 | Will George Simion be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | BUY | 0.0256208128 | $1.00 |
| 06-22 13:19 | Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $9.00 |
| 06-22 13:15 | Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.6234530011 | $11.01 |