donpolik
0x2421ff3c664a5db47dfb177d9f8bd3975dc8d187
- Realised P&L
- $-54.38
- Volume
- $790.20
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $91.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) · Washington Nationals | 0.300 | 0.625 | $6.54 | +$3.40 |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever · Indiana Fever | 0.510 | 0.925 | $5.13 | +$2.30 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.620 | 0.855 | $4.92 | +$1.35 |
| Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5) · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.730 | 0.935 | $4.57 | +$1.00 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.595 | $3.98 | +$0.84 |
| Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.410 | 0.395 | $3.44 | −$0.13 |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 178.5 · Under | 0.450 | 0.475 | $2.99 | +$0.16 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.540 | 0.963 | $2.89 | +$1.27 |
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 184.5 · Under | 0.470 | 0.460 | $2.77 | −$0.06 |
| Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.690 | 0.805 | $2.53 | +$0.36 |
| Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-2.5) · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.290 | 0.205 | $2.52 | −$1.05 |
| Trea Turner: Total Bases O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.410 | 0.500 | $2.51 | +$0.45 |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.580 | 0.595 | $2.41 | +$0.06 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.620 | 1.000 | $2.40 | +$0.91 |
| Connecticut Sun vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 159.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.650 | $2.39 | +$0.44 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.61at 0.341Porto: Valentina Steiner vs Caroline Werner
- +$5.53at 0.412Counter-Strike: Low Cortisol vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winner
- +$2.89at 0.341Ankara: Elena Micic vs Julia Riera
- +$2.79at 0.492Dallas Wings vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 173.5
- +$1.94at 0.552Zack Wheeler: Strikeouts O/U 6.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 00:38 | Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5799999448 | $1.68 |
| 09-23 00:14 | San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.5499999669 | $1.66 |
| 09-23 00:04 | Jared Jones: Strikeouts O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $2.70 |
| 09-23 00:04 | Zack Wheeler: Strikeouts O/U 6.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $4.35 |
| 09-23 00:03 | Jared Jones: Strikeouts O/U 5.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $3.67 |
| 09-23 00:02 | Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Zomblers - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.35 | $1.47 |
| 09-23 00:02 | Counter-Strike: LAG Gaming vs Zomblers - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7199998824 | $1.47 |
| 09-22 23:48 | Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5) | BUY | 0.32 | $1.37 |
| 09-22 23:42 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) | BUY | 0.6299999218 | $1.45 |
| 09-22 23:42 | Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.4499998914 | $1.45 |
| 09-22 23:38 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.6199999501 | $1.49 |
| 09-22 23:30 | San Diego 2: Darwin Blanch vs J.J. Wolf | BUY | 0.5899998137 | $1.52 |
| 09-22 23:08 | Elly De La Cruz: Total Bases O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.469999991 | $1.56 |
| 09-22 23:06 | Spread: New York Mets (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3499999586 | $1.69 |
| 09-22 23:06 | Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.65 | $1.69 |