James6644
0x241c53774abea8928de4f51078b31d972ace2893
- Realised P&L
- $-86.40
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $3.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.011 | $1.85 | +$0.85 |
| Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.005 | $0.55 | −$7.45 |
| Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.002 | $0.41 | −$0.59 |
| Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.004 | $0.35 | −$27.65 |
| Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.003 | $0.30 | −$1.70 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on March 31? · No | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spread: 76ers (-1.5) · Magic | 0.508 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$279.56 |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) · Portugal | 0.325 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$131.30at 0.527Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5
- +$35.80at 0.575Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?
- +$15.44at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
- +$5.08at 0.502Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
- +$4.68at 0.522Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-22 11:12 | Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | SELL | 0.93 | $93.80 |
| 08-05 12:08 | Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.4899999804 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 12:06 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 07-02 11:58 | Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.7899999631 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 11:57 | Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | BUY | 0.324999935 | $3.00 |
| 07-02 11:57 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 06-06 07:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $16.00 |
| 05-21 16:29 | Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0049352495 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 16:29 | Will Clémentine Autain be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0059371395 | $1.00 |
| 05-21 16:29 | Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 16:28 | Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 05-21 16:28 | Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 05-21 16:28 | Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled? | BUY | 0.5750427321 | $58.00 |
| 04-15 12:47 | Spread: 76ers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $271.17 |
| 04-08 09:53 | Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 235.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $142.42 |