0x241be87610914e91c22f40d0a5cef08495272a77
- Realised P&L
- $0.91
- Volume
- $83.04
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $81.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration10.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 18? · No | 0.959 | 1.000 | $8.34 | +$0.34 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 20? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.995 | $8.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 20? · No | 0.956 | 0.990 | $8.28 | +$0.28 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on September 19? · Up | 0.950 | 0.979 | $8.24 | +$0.24 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 19? · No | 0.963 | 0.985 | $8.18 | +$0.18 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on September 18? · No | 0.985 | 1.000 | $8.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $120 on September 20? · No | 0.969 | 0.980 | $8.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 20? · No | 0.978 | 0.976 | $7.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 20? · No | 0.963 | 0.934 | $7.76 | −$0.24 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 20? · No | 0.952 | 0.919 | $7.73 | −$0.27 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 04:30 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 19? | BUY | 0.9499999584 | $8.00 |
| 09-18 20:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 19? | BUY | 0.9629999984 | $8.00 |
| 09-18 18:46 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on September 20? | BUY | 0.9689999992 | $8.00 |
| 09-18 18:15 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 on September 18? | BUY | 0.985 | $8.00 |
| 09-18 18:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 20? | BUY | 0.9779998924 | $8.00 |
| 09-18 17:33 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 20? | BUY | 0.9559999814 | $8.00 |
| 09-18 17:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 20? | BUY | 0.9629999984 | $8.00 |
| 09-18 17:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 20? | BUY | 0.9519999257 | $8.00 |
| 09-18 16:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 20? | BUY | 0.96 | $8.00 |
| 09-18 16:16 | Will Bitcoin reach $83,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.959 | $8.00 |