real.honey
0x241aa769cca3c62c0baf2dd3e4652146e31281ef
- Realised P&L
- $-494.40
- Volume
- $28.0k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $555.23
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.021 | $555.23 | +$359.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-494.40at 0.493Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 01:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7 | $99.40 |
| 08-02 14:17 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0059999999 | $95.96 |
| 06-27 02:21 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.009 | $98.82 |
| 05-27 11:45 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008999991 | $1.00 |