0x241a423fb4a82fcafc9b1e1944cc2ff367c22e4d
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $31.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.722 | 0.655 | $17.8k | −$1.8k |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes | 0.734 | 0.765 | $10.4k | +$428.17 |
| Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? · Yes | 0.616 | 0.555 | $1.4k | −$148.36 |
| Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election? · Yes | 0.855 | 0.865 | $526.35 | +$6.35 |
| Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.850 | $477.64 | −$22.36 |
| Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.073 | $453.91 | −$46.09 |
| Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? · Yes | 0.306 | 0.251 | $81.88 | −$18.12 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 14:01 | Will Johnny Chiang win the next Taichung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.8897852641 | $500.00 |
| 10-31 13:57 | Will Hsieh Lung-chieh win the next Tainan Mayor election? | BUY | 0.0809637282 | $500.00 |
| 10-31 13:55 | Will Yu Shu-chen win the next Hualien County Magistrate election? | BUY | 0.8545600922 | $520.00 |
| 10-31 13:53 | Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6347588057 | $200.00 |
| 10-31 13:47 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.7335900096 | $10.0k |
| 10-31 13:45 | Will Ko Chih-en win the next Kaohsiung Mayor election? | BUY | 0.3059197466 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 13:40 | Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.6131194994 | $1.3k |
| 10-31 13:23 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.7532563028 | $5.2k |
| 10-31 13:23 | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BUY | 0.7108996436 | $14.4k |