0x2418360f0dcc9101A38E33d81575F4527a1E3411-1759394787803
0x2418360f0dcc9101a38e33d81575f4527a1e3411
- Realised P&L
- $-176.84
- Volume
- $62.7k
- Markets traded
- 209
- Open portfolio
- $225.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded209
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 25? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $225.34 | +$0.34 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11AM ET · Down | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.09at 0.862Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 3?
- +$23.49at 0.925Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7PM ET
- +$13.53at 0.934Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 6?
- +$10.80at 0.860Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 6?
- +$10.76at 0.910Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 02:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $72,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.9979999991 | $225.00 |
| 09-21 10:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $225.00 |
| 09-18 23:58 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.9979999991 | $225.00 |
| 09-17 02:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $224.00 |
| 09-14 23:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15? | BUY | 0.9989999965 | $224.00 |
| 09-14 01:13 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.998 | $224.00 |
| 09-11 14:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 12? | BUY | 0.998 | $223.00 |
| 09-09 00:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on September 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.15 |
| 09-09 00:07 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on September 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.00 |
| 09-07 00:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 8? | BUY | 0.997999999 | $223.00 |
| 09-03 12:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $223.00 |
| 08-31 13:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.997999999 | $223.00 |
| 08-27 23:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 29? | BUY | 0.998 | $222.00 |
| 08-19 16:11 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.5813041671 | $229.34 |
| 08-19 07:06 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.986 | $389.00 |