0x241513352d18f9106c67e0866ee5bac9f04bc610
0x241513352d18f9106c67e0866ee5bac9f04bc610
- Realised P&L
- $-12.00
- Volume
- $461.05
- Markets traded
- 78
- Open portfolio
- $2.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded78
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.425 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.750 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.48at 0.493England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$4.24at 0.626Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-28?
- +$1.98at 0.698Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-08-28?
- +$1.58at 0.574Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?
- +$1.45at 0.595Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 21:25 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.78 |
| 09-24 21:24 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.49 |
| 09-24 18:24 | Will Austria win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:49 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:49 | Will Spain win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 19:49 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 20:43 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? | SELL | 0.99 | $4.24 |
| 09-20 17:53 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.6999998833 | $3.00 |
| 09-20 13:48 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6599999898 | $1.30 |
| 09-19 21:22 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.141 | $0.96 |
| 09-19 21:21 | Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.1469999803 | $1.00 |
| 09-19 21:20 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.23 |
| 09-19 14:46 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 21:32 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.57 |
| 09-17 01:54 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.8899999809 | $1.40 |