PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x2414848524b3b104a94640D5E9BD829bc8db1fA1-1789834215826

0x2414848524b3b104a94640d5e9bd829bc8db1fa1

Realised P&L
$55.26
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$355.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration58.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 20? · Yes0.3300.510$15.45+$5.45
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 20? · Yes0.2600.380$14.62+$4.62
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 21? · Yes0.3030.325$14.24+$0.97
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 21? · No0.7600.900$11.84+$1.84
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on September 20? · No0.8400.990$11.79+$1.79
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 21? · Yes0.3900.455$11.67+$1.67
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on September 21? · No0.7600.880$11.58+$1.58
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21? · No0.6160.695$11.29+$1.29
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 21? · No0.4930.550$11.16+$1.16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 21? · No0.5900.655$11.10+$1.10
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 20? · No0.8600.890$10.35+$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 20? · No0.8600.890$10.35+$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 21? · No0.6900.705$10.22+$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 21? · No0.4300.435$10.12+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 21? · No0.6200.645$10.04+$0.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-20 06:10Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20?BUY0.2699999802$3.27
09-20 06:10Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 22?BUY0.6199999469$3.27
09-20 06:10Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.3499999679$3.27
09-20 06:10Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?SELL0.2517199862$7.32
09-20 05:10Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 21?BUY0.8899999946$6.63
09-20 05:10Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20?BUY0.5156448566$5.92
09-20 05:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 21?BUY0.18$6.11
09-20 05:10Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 20?BUY0.2030280167$10.00
09-20 05:10Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22?BUY0.48$2.76
09-20 05:10Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 21?SELL0.88$10.47
09-20 05:10Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?SELL0.89$20.62
09-20 04:10Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 21?BUY0.7499999792$9.02
09-20 04:10Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21?BUY0.1528619243$9.02
09-20 04:10Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 21?BUY0.4$9.02
09-20 04:10Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?BUY0.3099999914$9.02