0x2414848524b3b104a94640D5E9BD829bc8db1fA1-1789834215826
0x2414848524b3b104a94640d5e9bd829bc8db1fa1
- Realised P&L
- $55.26
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $355.47
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.91at 0.156Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 20?
- +$10.24at 0.443Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20?
- +$1.41at 0.552Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 20?
- +$0.89at 0.522Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on September 20?
- +$0.89at 0.820Ethereum Up or Down - September 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2699999802 | $3.27 |
| 09-20 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.6199999469 | $3.27 |
| 09-20 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.3499999679 | $3.27 |
| 09-20 06:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21? | SELL | 0.2517199862 | $7.32 |
| 09-20 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.8899999946 | $6.63 |
| 09-20 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 20? | BUY | 0.5156448566 | $5.92 |
| 09-20 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 21? | BUY | 0.18 | $6.11 |
| 09-20 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 20? | BUY | 0.2030280167 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.76 |
| 09-20 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on September 21? | SELL | 0.88 | $10.47 |
| 09-20 05:10 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 20? | SELL | 0.89 | $20.62 |
| 09-20 04:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 20°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.7499999792 | $9.02 |
| 09-20 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.1528619243 | $9.02 |
| 09-20 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on September 21? | BUY | 0.4 | $9.02 |
| 09-20 04:10 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.3099999914 | $9.02 |