PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

d23d3d

0x2413e282613eea16dc12c4079a34815eba5ff6c6

Realised P&L
$157.65
Volume
$22.8k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$371.51

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026? · Yes0.8150.865$371.51+$21.51
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$70.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 03:54Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.9545206596$300.00
09-14 20:21Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026?BUY0.998379898$91.98
09-14 16:09Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?BUY0.8235122727$300.00
09-14 16:01Will Waymo launch in Las Vegas, NV by December 31 2026?BUY0.7669521309$50.00
09-11 15:02Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.9003527199$200.00
09-11 15:01Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?SELL0.1$71.80
09-11 14:32Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.7700914867$150.00
09-11 14:28Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?SELL0.0057599086$5.12
09-11 14:24Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.3064219987$220.00
09-11 14:22Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.011$5.00
09-11 14:21Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.7399999998$200.00
09-11 14:21Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.0115251633$5.00
09-10 16:35Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.999$224.84
09-08 10:57Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?BUY0.9935517241$288.13
09-04 14:32Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?BUY0.9199999915$100.00