0x24139dA1887C90E0Acb6fa2F6344EcBc976DC74d-1767737723269
0x24139da1887c90e0acb6fa2f6344ecbc976dc74d
- Realised P&L
- $25.03
- Volume
- $6.6k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $8.35
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.945 | $6.06 | +$1.06 |
| Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.5m barrels per day in 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.055 | $2.29 | −$2.71 |
| Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.25at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.23at 0.090Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
- +$2.16at 0.370Will Trump visit China by May 31?
- +$2.14at 0.070Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.18at 0.032Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-11 17:33 | Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach 1.7m barrels per day in 2026? | SELL | 0.0695614443 | $4.49 |
| 04-11 17:33 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.145 | $5.58 |
| 03-24 02:27 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.11 | $7.30 |
| 03-22 03:17 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $10.16 |
| 03-20 10:54 | Will Trump visit China by May 31? | BUY | 0.3699999815 | $8.00 |
| 03-20 10:53 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1055017179 | $7.00 |
| 03-06 13:27 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.3799999742 | $5.00 |
| 01-19 17:59 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.053 | $7.42 |
| 01-12 21:23 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $5.29 |
| 01-12 21:23 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $7.14 |
| 01-12 03:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $7.00 |
| 01-12 03:35 | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0699999874 | $5.00 |
| 01-12 03:33 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899998965 | $5.00 |
| 01-12 03:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799998596 | $5.00 |
| 01-11 22:19 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $4.89 |