helmbreaker0195
0x2412d38bdaf8f52cbc61a234cdcced40b5d0db1d
- Realised P&L
- $-206.90
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $9.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · Boston Red Sox | 0.410 | 0.480 | $9.60 | +$1.40 |
| Clippers vs. Hawks · Hawks | 0.700 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$343.00 |
| Mavericks vs. Clippers · Clippers | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$360.00 |
| Pistons vs. Heat · Heat | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$343.00 |
| Nuggets vs. Suns · Suns | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$174.80 |
| Suns vs. Lakers · Lakers | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$645.15 |
| Penguins vs. Flyers · Flyers | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$64.35 |
| XRP Up or Down on January 13? · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.50 |
| Celtics vs. Timberwolves · Celtics | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$308.10 |
| Oilers vs. Kraken · Kraken | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$440.88 |
| Red Wings vs. Bruins · Red Wings | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$153.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$780.00at 0.480Stars vs. Devils
- +$585.00at 0.610Heat vs. Magic
- +$566.40at 0.520Lakers vs. Celtics
- +$441.00at 0.370Bulls vs. Pacers
- +$133.12at 0.480Jets vs. Canadiens
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 07:41 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.41 | $8.20 |
| 07-03 03:00 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.55 | $9.71 |
| 06-02 07:27 | Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.49 | $10.14 |
| 02-09 05:43 | Ethereum Up or Down on February 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $7.00 |
| 12-26 05:11 | DAX (DAX) Up or Down on December 26? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.00 |
| 12-04 16:34 | Lakers vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.52 | $613.60 |
| 12-02 15:23 | Jets vs. Canadiens | BUY | 0.48 | $122.88 |
| 12-02 14:47 | Stars vs. Devils | BUY | 0.48 | $720.00 |
| 11-28 13:10 | Oilers vs. Kraken | BUY | 0.44 | $440.88 |
| 11-28 12:29 | Nuggets vs. Suns | BUY | 0.38 | $174.80 |
| 11-28 11:32 | Pistons vs. Heat | BUY | 0.49 | $343.00 |
| 11-28 11:11 | Bulls vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.37 | $259.00 |
| 11-28 10:58 | Celtics vs. Timberwolves | BUY | 0.39 | $308.10 |