PolyBot

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Traders

0x240e7870c7891a13ded199351c8ed760f40c9f68

0x240e7870c7891a13ded199351c8ed760f40c9f68

Realised P&L
$-15.15
Volume
$712.22
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$12.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 17:29Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5099998317$1.00
09-05 17:23Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
09-05 17:18Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?SELL0.11$0.92
09-05 17:17Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?SELL0.08$0.89
09-05 16:58Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
09-05 16:56Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?BUY0.089999919$1.00
09-05 16:50Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.0569005363$2.33
07-13 12:34Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.048999954$1.00
07-13 12:34Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.54$1.00
07-13 12:25Will Sébastien Lecornu be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0485148074$1.00
07-07 20:52Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.1699998861$1.00
07-07 20:51Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-07 17:49Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.138999892$1.00
07-07 17:33Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.019$0.17
07-05 19:19Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.1499998875$1.00