PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

asd76400

0x2409afcfc2c2821f294f61ca2d24069bea76fbec

Realised P&L
$-558.67
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$799.09

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-12.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-18 20:24Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ETBUY0.3799999833$9.72
02-18 20:23Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?BUY0.8545454465$100.00
02-15 13:01Will Jordan Wood be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?BUY0.3350923645$57.00
02-15 13:00Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?BUY0.5926862513$20.00
02-04 14:01Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETBUY0.6481592113$9.74
02-04 13:59Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.7699999935$20.00
02-04 13:59Will Angus King III win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.9299999986$20.00
02-04 13:58Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.4421061939$20.00
02-04 13:51Will Joe Baldacci be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?BUY0.6607444933$22.00
01-26 01:35Will Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?BUY0.9399999997$60.00
01-26 01:33Will Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?SELL0.04$0.20
01-26 01:32Will Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?SELL0.5707376499$59.50
01-26 01:31Will Matthew Dunlap be the Democratic nominee for ME-02?BUY0.42$2.10
01-26 01:26Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.5799999954$5.00
01-26 01:17Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?BUY0.6524720978$40.00