0x2407eC32fF0900EE5Cf4D8353CBf98fF20B9db9A-1766115634834
0x2407ec32ff0900ee5cf4d8353cbf98ff20b9db9a
- Realised P&L
- $-15.89
- Volume
- $15.3k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $177.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? · No | 0.428 | 0.425 | $99.33 | −$0.67 |
| Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.585 | 0.230 | $78.59 | −$121.41 |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will England win on 2026-06-23? · Yes | 0.840 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$309.69 |
| Will any FaZe member come out as a furry by July 31? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of March? · No | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$29.99 |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) · Yadong | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$222.06at 0.498Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$141.84at 0.604Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$111.18at 0.477Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
- +$52.67at 0.757Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$47.98at 0.667Will France win on 2026-06-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 20:12 | Will Erling Haaland (Man City) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season? | BUY | 0.4278606951 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 20:08 | Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.589999998 | $100.00 |
| 09-26 20:07 | Will Manchester City be stripped of a Premier League title by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5807360961 | $100.00 |
| 09-10 23:33 | Bank of England rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.25 | $29.62 |
| 09-10 23:33 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $58.86 |
| 09-10 23:33 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.89 | $97.21 |
| 09-10 23:33 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.931 | $112.17 |
| 09-10 23:33 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $111.90 |
| 09-10 23:33 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.9681651329 | $112.57 |
| 09-10 23:32 | Cuban regime falls in 2026? | SELL | 0.86 | $114.23 |
| 09-10 23:32 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.926 | $234.61 |
| 09-10 23:32 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.959 | $322.90 |
| 09-10 23:32 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $365.50 |
| 09-10 23:32 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $545.30 |
| 07-18 03:50 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5919999993 | $212.08 |