0x24059d484a90f67692b5ad96b1d716942468be9d-1771015998771
0x24059d484a90f67692b5ad96b1d716942468be9d
- Realised P&L
- $-119.36
- Volume
- $11.2k
- Markets traded
- 132
- Open portfolio
- $37.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded132
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Denver Nuggets make the 2027 NBA Playoffs? · No | 0.145 | 0.145 | $34.31 | −$0.08 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder | 0.450 | 0.445 | $2.97 | −$0.03 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET · Up | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Magic vs. Pistons · Magic | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers · Raptors | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Magic vs. Pistons · Magic | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.08 |
| 76ers vs. Pelicans · 76ers | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets · Timberwolves | 0.255 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.84 |
| 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H Moneyline · Celtics | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Rockets vs. Knicks · Rockets | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Knicks vs. Hawks · Hawks | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces · Indiana Fever | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Up | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Jarrett Allen: Assists O/U 1.5 · Yes | 0.205 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$41.55at 0.325Will the Portland Trail Blazers make the NBA Playoffs?
- +$40.74at 0.164Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
- +$20.90at 0.331Will the USA Stars team win the 2026 NBA All-Star Game?
- +$18.83at 0.347Warriors vs. Clippers
- +$17.69at 0.410Cavaliers vs. Raptors: 1H Moneyline
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 23:56 | Raptors vs. Pistons | SELL | 0.3 | $6.25 |
| 10-16 23:32 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $3.00 |
| 10-16 22:18 | Heat vs. Magic | BUY | 0.299999994 | $5.00 |
| 10-16 22:18 | Celtics vs. 76ers | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $4.00 |
| 10-16 22:09 | Raptors vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.2399999923 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 03:23 | Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces | BUY | 0.109999989 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 03:09 | Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces | SELL | 0.12 | $3.60 |
| 10-02 03:04 | Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces | BUY | 0.05 | $3.00 |
| 09-18 04:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | SELL | 0.2 | $1.11 |
| 09-18 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET | BUY | 0.1799999856 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 04:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | SELL | 0.52 | $1.26 |
| 09-18 04:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 20:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $10.29 |
| 09-15 20:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-15 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |