Kval
0x2404ba4be90b95e7cea57026f3d655fc7d448366
- Realised P&L
- $-421.44
- Volume
- $110.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $927.52
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.009 | $925.94 | −$381.84 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.029 | $1.58 | −$8.42 |
| Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Trump meet Pope Leo XIV before August? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Biden seen in public before June? · No | 0.343 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes | 0.432 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| BNB all time high by December 31? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.08at 0.130Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?
- +$9.38at 0.560Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first?
- +$8.99at 0.6905kt meteor strike in 2025?
- +$6.17at 0.810Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
- +$6.13at 0.620Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 11:36 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0086640763 | $106.63 |
| 09-09 09:30 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0181892923 | $200.00 |
| 09-09 09:28 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0094224213 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 19:08 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.015 | $230.73 |
| 06-19 10:57 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0077220111 | $33.93 |
| 06-19 10:57 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.007 | $216.07 |
| 05-25 12:41 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0189574383 | $214.96 |
| 05-22 02:12 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0160551199 | $150.28 |
| 05-22 01:57 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $42.51 |
| 05-22 01:56 | Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | SELL | 0.49 | $45.23 |
| 05-22 01:54 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.011 | $53.99 |
| 05-22 01:53 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $56.17 |
| 05-22 01:52 | Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.0109999998 | $49.00 |
| 01-13 23:50 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 10-31 00:53 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first? | BUY | 0.5599999944 | $11.94 |