PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Kval

0x2404ba4be90b95e7cea57026f3d655fc7d448366

Realised P&L
$203.58
Volume
$70.3k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$1.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0110.015$1.0k+$242.57
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1800.038$2.11$7.89
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$5.00
Will Trump meet Pope Leo XIV before August? · Yes0.4600.000$0.00$20.00
Biden seen in public before June? · No0.3430.000$0.00$50.00
Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? · Yes0.4320.000$0.00$10.00
BNB all time high by December 31? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-19 10:57Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0077220111$33.93
06-19 10:57Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.007$216.07
05-25 12:41Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0189574383$214.96
05-22 02:12Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0160551199$150.28
05-22 01:57Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.011$42.51
05-22 01:56Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?SELL0.49$45.23
05-22 01:54Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.011$53.99
05-22 01:53Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?SELL0.91$56.17
05-22 01:52Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0109999998$49.00
01-13 23:50Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.179999987$10.00
10-31 00:53Will Bitcoin hit $100k or $120k first?BUY0.5599999944$11.94
10-31 00:51BNB all time high by December 31?BUY0.4799999827$10.00
10-31 00:41Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8099999977$50.00
06-01 21:475kt meteor strike in 2025?BUY0.6899999952$20.00
05-19 22:35Biden seen in public before June?BUY0.3429778711$50.00