0x240116500088fa93b29cf65be7133d6e81d0d87e
0x240116500088fa93b29cf65be7133d6e81d0d87e
- Realised P&L
- $9.79
- Volume
- $188.94
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $5.71
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.835 | $1.13 | +$0.13 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.625 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.800 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? · No | 0.730 | 0.730 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.640 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.095 | $0.37 | −$0.63 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.037 | $0.09 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.51at 0.227Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of August 24 2026?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$2.54at 0.288Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.10at 0.329Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?
- +$2.00at 0.339S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 22:40 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $790 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:33 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 04:31 | Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q3 Innovative Medicine revenue be above $17.2B? | BUY | 0.7299994744 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:51 | Will Prologis (PLD) Q3 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.70? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 15:26 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 05:19 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399996448 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 08:19 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 08:19 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 12:10 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 04:07 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 18:09 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 18:07 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 10:03 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:59 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:56 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |