Dreaded
0x23fc1a25d03f187a71d3eeec7cd86d8fed3189f2
- Realised P&L
- $-138.19
- Volume
- $29.1k
- Markets traded
- 496
- Open portfolio
- $30.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded496
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.51at 0.175Will Kamala lead by 2-2.4 August 30?
- +$32.50at 0.150Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
- +$31.48at 0.400Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on June 29?
- +$28.16at 0.239Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 16?
- +$23.82at 0.522Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 15:37 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 24°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.3599999788 | $1.36 |
| 10-15 15:32 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.17 |
| 10-15 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.3799999846 | $1.48 |
| 10-15 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.5483509771 | $1.43 |
| 10-15 06:01 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.098 | $3.20 |
| 10-15 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.14 |
| 10-15 04:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.4599998525 | $1.31 |
| 10-15 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 16? | BUY | 0.5899999762 | $1.24 |
| 10-15 03:36 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on October 15? | BUY | 0.3699999059 | $1.18 |
| 10-15 03:14 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.19 | $2.85 |
| 10-15 03:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 15? | BUY | 0.27 | $8.39 |
| 10-15 02:35 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.40 |
| 10-15 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.2105042017 | $3.01 |
| 10-15 02:09 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on October 15? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.68 |
| 10-15 02:08 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C or higher on October 15? | SELL | 0.0021630479 | $0.27 |