PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

qwasd2

0x23f4d5eabf527e16baabc1bad06d33161ea337f2

Realised P&L
$53.74
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$167.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration74.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September? · No0.9811.000$165.14+$3.14
Will the Republican Party win the CA-38 House seat? · No0.9200.995$1.83+$0.14
Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8970.074$0.13−$1.47
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals0.5100.000$0.00−$2.00
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Toronto Blue Jays0.5700.000$0.00−$4.00
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox · Cleveland Guardians0.5200.000$0.00−$2.00
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets · New York Mets0.5200.000$0.00−$2.00
Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays0.6400.000$0.00−$4.00
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5430.000$0.00−$2.90
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets · New York Mets0.5400.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 05:23Will Solana reach $600 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.99$2.48
09-10 02:46Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in September?BUY0.9809999999$162.00
08-28 04:04Will Google have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.999$149.00
08-19 02:39Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 22?BUY0.998$7.00
08-19 02:39Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 21?BUY0.999$6.00
08-05 03:13Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?BUY0.999$7.00
08-05 03:12Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?BUY0.999$6.00
07-26 08:18Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 July 20-26?BUY0.9989999828$55.00
07-26 08:18Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?BUY0.9969999893$53.00
07-26 08:18Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July?BUY0.9979999898$55.00
07-04 06:14Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.7199999988$117.71
06-23 06:17Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota TwinsBUY0.6199999297$3.00
06-23 06:17Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White SoxBUY0.5199999896$2.00
06-23 06:17Arizona Diamondbacks vs. St. Louis CardinalsBUY0.5099999566$2.00
06-23 06:17Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington NationalsBUY0.6$4.00