PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x23eC6390D1eA049Ad978A843ee671C4673D2fBf1-1770711224732

0x23ec6390d1ea049ad978a843ee671c4673d2fbf1

Realised P&L
$-66.83
Volume
$7.0k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$33.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample46 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.1500.545$18.17+$13.17
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0900.360$8.01+$6.01
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0810.105$2.62+$0.61
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0120.015$1.29+$0.29
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? · Yes0.1500.085$1.13$0.87
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.1200.030$1.02$2.98
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1900.081$0.85$1.15
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.001$0.06$0.94
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1540.000$0.00$3.93
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$1.00
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 10, 2026? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$2.00
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in February? · Yes0.0450.000$0.00$1.00
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$2.00
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2090.000$0.00$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 11:23Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2089999795$6.00
05-11 12:27Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0879999682$2.48
04-17 09:00Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.15399997$3.93
02-25 15:49Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY0.0929999785$3.88
02-24 07:50Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY0.1199999816$5.47
02-24 07:49Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?SELL0.3$5.36
02-24 07:42Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?SELL0.002$0.11
02-23 11:47Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY0.1$1.21
02-23 10:50Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?SELL0.013$1.21
02-22 17:35Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY0.0570000002$3.02
02-22 17:352026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R HouseSELL0.014$1.17
02-22 17:342026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseSELL0.13$1.86
02-22 17:33Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY0.025$1.74
02-22 17:32Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027?SELL0.05$0.83
02-22 17:32Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027?SELL0.1$0.91