0x23eC6390D1eA049Ad978A843ee671C4673D2fBf1-1770711224732
0x23ec6390d1ea049ad978a843ee671c4673d2fbf1
- Realised P&L
- $-66.83
- Volume
- $7.0k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $33.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.60at 0.046Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
- +$6.07at 0.017Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
- +$4.00at 0.140Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
- +$3.55at 0.028Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027?
- +$3.10at 0.008Will the US next strike Iran on March 8, 2026 (ET)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 11:23 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2089999795 | $6.00 |
| 05-11 12:27 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0879999682 | $2.48 |
| 04-17 09:00 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.15399997 | $3.93 |
| 02-25 15:49 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.0929999785 | $3.88 |
| 02-24 07:50 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999816 | $5.47 |
| 02-24 07:49 | Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | SELL | 0.3 | $5.36 |
| 02-24 07:42 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.11 |
| 02-23 11:47 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.21 |
| 02-23 10:50 | Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.21 |
| 02-22 17:35 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.0570000002 | $3.02 |
| 02-22 17:35 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | SELL | 0.014 | $1.17 |
| 02-22 17:34 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.13 | $1.86 |
| 02-22 17:33 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $1.74 |
| 02-22 17:32 | Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.83 |
| 02-22 17:32 | Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.91 |