houzhe
0x23e920c43cd92fef1752452549feb67d20ddec32
- Realised P&L
- $-2.66
- Volume
- $12.5k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $2.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in September? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.100 | $2.48 | −$2.73 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on April 3? · Yes | 0.253 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$235.09 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on November 28? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.43 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 26? · No | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.78 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.20 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26? · Yes | 0.255 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$189.30 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8? · No | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.26at 0.749Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 18?
- +$48.13at 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 15?
- +$48.13at 0.750Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 23?
- +$48.12at 0.750Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
- +$7.33at 0.120LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-05 06:41 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | BUY | 0.9989999752 | $7.80 |
| 09-05 06:38 | Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $405 in September? | BUY | 0.209999975 | $5.21 |
| 08-01 10:44 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.20 |
| 06-08 11:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $93.00 |
| 06-02 11:01 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2? | BUY | 0.9979999971 | $92.00 |
| 05-23 08:10 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $92.00 |
| 05-19 08:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $92.00 |
| 05-13 09:20 | Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $92.00 |
| 05-07 12:21 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $92.00 |
| 05-07 12:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 8? | BUY | 0.0060016805 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 06:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5? | BUY | 0.9979999972 | $93.00 |
| 05-05 06:05 | Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 06:05 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 04-26 10:32 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $95.00 |
| 04-26 10:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 26? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.37 |