jbdnaa
0x23de567bc21da026acbe9b7bea11eb91ab4f05c1
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $58.4k
- Markets traded
- 271
- Open portfolio
- $59.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded271
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF Femenino win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.540 | $24.55 | +$14.55 |
| Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.398 | 0.355 | $17.85 | −$2.15 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.715 | $14.59 | +$4.59 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.065 | $1.38 | −$8.62 |
| Will Austria win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.040 | $0.86 | −$9.14 |
| Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$0.98 |
| Spread: FK Austria Wien (-1.5) · FK Austria Wien | 0.270 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$5.99 |
| Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$566.67at 0.150Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-20?
- +$493.99at 0.267Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)
- +$471.14at 0.330Bulls vs. Magic
- +$334.38at 0.437Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?
- +$279.27at 0.472Will Villarreal win on 2025-10-25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 18:01 | Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.3699999867 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 17:57 | Will Real Madrid CF Femenino win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.2199999974 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 17:55 | Will FK Austria Wien win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 17:54 | Will Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $31.22 |
| 10-01 17:31 | Spread: FK Austria Wien (-1.5) | BUY | 0.2699999906 | $6.00 |
| 10-01 17:21 | Will Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 17:20 | Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.0289999997 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 17:19 | Spread: HB Køge (-1.5) | SELL | 0.89 | $17.44 |
| 10-01 06:16 | Will Kosovo win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4299999991 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 06:15 | Spread: HB Køge (-1.5) | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 06:14 | Will Austria win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 06:13 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 06:13 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $10.00 |
| 09-30 22:12 | Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4899999942 | $25.32 |
| 09-30 22:04 | Spread: CS Cienciano (-1.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $25.46 |