PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x23DBC39d63d2001B2F55C62767E0d41dBC2eCF1C-1775238813231

0x23dbc39d63d2001b2f55c62767e0d41dbc2ecf1c

Realised P&L
$-4.5k
Volume
$129.7k
Markets traded
2,330
Open portfolio
$772.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,330
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration61.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0940.140$448.28+$148.28
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0440.038$262.01$37.99
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1190.245$61.92+$31.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-25 13:07Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.1972709453$73.06
08-25 08:22Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.614$52.59
08-21 19:19NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?SELL0.13$38.23
08-16 06:25Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?BUY0.98$1.00
08-16 06:25Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16?BUY0.9819999863$1.00
08-16 06:17Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16?BUY0.99$4.95
08-16 06:15Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16?BUY0.92$1.00
08-16 06:15Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16?BUY0.9399999624$1.00
08-16 06:13Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 16?BUY0.9219999465$1.00
08-16 06:13Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 16?BUY0.92$1.00
08-16 06:03Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 16?BUY0.9089999264$1.00
08-16 06:03Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 16?BUY0.8799995072$1.00
08-16 06:03Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C or higher on August 16?BUY0.9899999099$10.00
08-16 03:49Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 16?BUY0.95$1.00
08-16 03:49Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 16?BUY0.95$1.00