0x23DBC39d63d2001B2F55C62767E0d41dBC2eCF1C-1775238813231
0x23dbc39d63d2001b2f55c62767e0d41dbc2ecf1c
- Realised P&L
- $-4.5k
- Volume
- $129.7k
- Markets traded
- 2,330
- Open portfolio
- $772.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,330
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration61.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.140 | $448.28 | +$148.28 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.044 | 0.038 | $262.01 | −$37.99 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.245 | $61.92 | +$31.92 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.19at 0.873Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$99.13at 0.091Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
- +$82.34at 0.111Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 1?
- +$76.03at 0.178Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
- +$63.10at 0.761Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-25 13:07 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.1972709453 | $73.06 |
| 08-25 08:22 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.614 | $52.59 |
| 08-21 19:19 | NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? | SELL | 0.13 | $38.23 |
| 08-16 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.9819999863 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 06:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 08-16 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 06:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.9219999465 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.9089999264 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.8799995072 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C or higher on August 16? | BUY | 0.9899999099 | $10.00 |
| 08-16 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-16 03:49 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 16? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |