PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

old-lan

0x23d7a1296d05398523beaf17ff564842a2390f30

Realised P&L
$-1.3k
Volume
$244.9k
Markets traded
1,091
Open portfolio
$3.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,091
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration57.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.4690.375$1.6k$407.88
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.5720.545$881.71$44.07
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5370.455$665.74$119.61
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.4090.320$127.67$35.61
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.7850.000$0.00$777.99
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 30? · No0.8560.000$0.00$87.58

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-12 10:04Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.45$21.73
08-12 10:03Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.4481818882$232.80
08-07 02:34Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY0.98$5.00
08-07 02:34Ethereum Up or Down - August 6, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETBUY0.98$5.00
07-12 03:06Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?SELL0.999$37.59
07-12 02:13Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?BUY0.93$35.00
07-12 02:12Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.999$99.90
06-28 14:37Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.51$2.58
06-28 02:54Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.52$319.42
06-27 12:31Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.5070096284$164.29
06-26 08:39Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?BUY0.5$8.64
06-06 09:46Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.49$90.77
06-06 09:44Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ETSELL0.85$5.24
06-06 09:41Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ETBUY0.15$4.95
06-06 09:41Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5AM ETBUY0.2799999661$4.95