Chikalo
0x23d30688daad362de9a5e5b85a62e2707a506cfc
- Realised P&L
- $13.04
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $209.81
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? · No | 0.988 | 0.986 | $99.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October? · No | 0.993 | 0.989 | $49.77 | −$0.23 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · No | 0.951 | 1.000 | $21.03 | +$1.03 |
| Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? · No | 0.950 | 0.925 | $10.71 | −$0.29 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,200 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.976 | $9.85 | −$0.15 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,170 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.961 | $9.70 | −$0.30 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,230 Week of October 12 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.970 | $4.89 | −$0.10 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $532.50 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 1.000 | $2.08 | +$1.08 |
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.760 | 1.000 | $1.32 | +$0.32 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.123 | $0.65 | −$0.35 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down on May 25?
- +$22.70at 0.630Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$7.34at 0.290Will Marcel Ciolacu win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?
- +$6.69at 0.130Cong vs. Fernandes
- +$5.71at 0.840Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 12:12 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in October? | BUY | 0.9929999856 | $50.00 |
| 10-13 12:12 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.987999999 | $100.00 |
| 10-13 12:11 | Will Bitcoin Dominance hit 70% before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $11.00 |
| 10-13 12:10 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $547.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.759999696 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 12:10 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $532.50 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-13 12:09 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,170 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.9900891089 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 12:09 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,200 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.9900099872 | $10.00 |
| 10-13 12:09 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,230 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.9901942959 | $5.00 |
| 10-13 12:05 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,020 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $1.00 |
| 05-30 08:15 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.9509999599 | $20.00 |
| 05-23 18:10 | Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-05-23? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 03-04 18:42 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.8299999975 | $3.31 |
| 03-04 18:42 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 March 2-8? | BUY | 0.9939999998 | $10.00 |
| 03-04 18:41 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.998 | $753.31 |
| 03-01 16:11 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.999 | $754.07 |