PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PredictionPuppy

0x23d1ef7c9e8e774db4e2b40b3021c9cd340e743a

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$28.2k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration67.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-24 21:57Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.26$5.20
06-10 22:40Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.32$23.36
06-10 22:40Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?BUY0.31$40.59
06-10 18:28Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?BUY0.5$200.00
06-10 10:23Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?BUY0.77$50.82
06-10 10:22Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?BUY0.77$77.00
06-10 10:12Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.68$3.40
06-10 10:12Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.66$132.00
06-10 10:12Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?BUY0.65$37.21
06-09 15:59Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?SELL0.825665725$526.11
06-09 09:04Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?BUY0.74$13.32
06-07 18:54Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?SELL0.1$14.00
05-29 23:33Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.44$98.98
05-29 19:23Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?BUY0.42$210.00
05-29 17:53Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?BUY0.4$400.00