PredictionPuppy
0x23d1ef7c9e8e774db4e2b40b3021c9cd340e743a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $28.2k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration67.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$639.97at 0.431Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$243.88at 0.864Claude 4.8 released by May 31?
- +$66.97at 0.721Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
- +$-59.79at 0.527Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-24 21:57 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $5.20 |
| 06-10 22:40 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $23.36 |
| 06-10 22:40 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $40.59 |
| 06-10 18:28 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $200.00 |
| 06-10 10:23 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $50.82 |
| 06-10 10:22 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $77.00 |
| 06-10 10:12 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 06-10 10:12 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $132.00 |
| 06-10 10:12 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31? | BUY | 0.65 | $37.21 |
| 06-09 15:59 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | SELL | 0.825665725 | $526.11 |
| 06-09 09:04 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.74 | $13.32 |
| 06-07 18:54 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by June 30? | SELL | 0.1 | $14.00 |
| 05-29 23:33 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $98.98 |
| 05-29 19:23 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.42 | $210.00 |
| 05-29 17:53 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $400.00 |