rrcd
0x23cdfe0da4926dc5b353c764d84f7015ec017f4a
- Realised P&L
- $35.87
- Volume
- $639.18
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $3.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Nicaragua win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.032 | $3.56 | −$16.44 |
| Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Tigre end in a draw? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will América de Cali vs. Águilas Doradas Rionegro end in a draw? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$67.69at 0.235Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw?
- +$39.60at 0.208Will Malta win on 2026-09-24?
- +$31.29at 0.249Will CF Pachuca vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 21:36 | Will Nicaragua win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 20:33 | Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 18:52 | Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $20.00 |
| 09-24 17:35 | Will Malta win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 17:29 | Will Netherlands vs. Germany end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 09-24 01:10 | Will América de Cali vs. Águilas Doradas Rionegro end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1699999997 | $20.00 |
| 09-21 02:15 | Will CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Tigre end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1099999999 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 01:48 | Will CF Pachuca vs. Club Tijuana end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 21:21 | Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $50.00 |