0x23cdea3f9302f13dc23991f774d8f06c9274a478
0x23cdea3f9302f13dc23991f774d8f06c9274a478
- Realised P&L
- $2.56
- Volume
- $1.94
- Markets traded
- 1
- Open portfolio
- $13.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar131.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded1
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas vs. Tennessee · Tennessee | 0.500 | 0.355 | $6.67 | −$2.72 |
| Spread: Texas Tech (-34.5) · Texas Tech | 0.500 | 0.515 | $2.31 | +$0.07 |
| Chargers vs. Bills · Bills | 0.500 | 0.755 | $1.96 | +$0.66 |
| Spread: Ohio State (-27.5) · Ohio State | 0.500 | 0.455 | $1.86 | −$0.18 |
| Colorado vs. Baylor · Baylor | 0.500 | 0.765 | $1.02 | +$0.35 |
| Genoa 2: Lukas Neumayer vs Luka Mikrut · Lukas Neumayer | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.31 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals · Chicago White Sox | 0.515 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners · Houston Astros | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.56at 0.500Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Botic van de Zandschulp
- +$1.35at 0.500San Diego 2: Patrick Maloney vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
- +$1.27at 0.500Minnesota Twins vs. San Francisco Giants
- +$1.17at 0.500Hangzhou Open: Yunchaokete Bu vs Michael Zheng
- +$1.17at 0.500Hangzhou Open: Jaime Faria vs Terence Atmane
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 21:29 | Chicago White Sox vs. Kansas City Royals | BUY | 0.529999789 | $1.03 |