PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x23cb24e231c110139370e645437dae99bb9d751a

Realised P&L
$-39.55
Volume
$7.7k
Markets traded
659
Open portfolio
$15.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded659
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.4500.585$2.34+$0.54
MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks? · Soto0.8400.983$2.16+$0.31
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1100.201$2.01+$0.91
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8960.992$1.98+$0.19
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.982$1.96+$0.08
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? · No0.9100.942$1.88+$0.06
Will the Republican Party win the NY-08 House seat? · No0.9300.966$1.45+$0.05
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$0.55$0.45
Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1500.087$0.55$0.39
Will the Republican Party win the TX-31 House seat? · No0.1600.075$0.47$0.53
Will Germany go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? · Yes0.7000.000$0.00$1.96
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up0.6100.000$0.00$1.22
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET · Up0.4400.000$0.00$1.06
Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET · Up0.1520.000$0.00$1.90
Ethereum Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Down0.7500.000$0.00$0.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-17 01:57Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.18$1.80
08-17 01:49Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETBUY0.03$1.50
08-17 01:43Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETBUY0.17$1.87
08-17 01:31Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:30PM-9:35PM ETBUY0.26$1.82
08-17 01:27Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.34$1.90
08-17 01:16Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETBUY0.36$1.80
08-17 01:14Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETBUY0.17$1.53
08-17 01:11Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETBUY0.17$1.87
08-17 01:08Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.33$1.85
08-17 01:08Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETBUY0.17$1.87
08-17 00:57Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETBUY0.13$1.82
08-17 00:56Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ETBUY0.25$1.88
08-17 00:51Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETBUY0.29$1.91
08-17 00:51Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETBUY0.17$1.70
08-17 00:47Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.11$1.81