Astraeight
0x23ca4376e7b74376b9247c4daac3dcad1fec9ae6
- Realised P&L
- $13.3k
- Volume
- $308.0k
- Markets traded
- 598
- Open portfolio
- $17.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded598
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.412Will Coinbase Global (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.2kat 0.799Will Eventbrite (EB) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$994.59at 0.765Will GameStop (GME) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$921.29at 0.915Will Safepoint not IPO before August 2026?
- +$889.70at 0.563Rams vs. Seahawks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 06:57 | Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 10-12 05:13 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $175B by December 31? | BUY | 0.918 | $5.10 |
| 10-10 21:50 | Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | SELL | 0.1031122021 | $15.96 |
| 10-10 20:59 | Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $150B by December 31? | BUY | 0.7079639889 | $51.11 |
| 10-09 22:38 | Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? | BUY | 0.8627230748 | $62.40 |
| 10-09 22:37 | Trump out as President before 2027? | SELL | 0.956 | $478.00 |
| 10-07 20:36 | Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.82 | $98.51 |
| 10-07 20:34 | Will Texas Instruments (TXN) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.8051282271 | $187.74 |
| 10-07 17:57 | Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $49.76 |
| 10-07 17:56 | Will ByteDance's valuation hit (HIGH) $700B by December 31? | BUY | 0.7832272639 | $121.35 |
| 10-07 07:53 | Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? | BUY | 0.9200146628 | $138.04 |
| 10-07 00:08 | Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? | BUY | 0.879 | $8.79 |
| 10-06 08:50 | Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? | BUY | 0.829 | $3.48 |
| 10-03 02:27 | Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 10-02 20:07 | Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026? | BUY | 0.4947778309 | $41.42 |