0x23c2cabae3bd3b375be932cdc5609fafded638c5
- Realised P&L
- $-17.00
- Volume
- $191.64
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $40.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 17? · No | 0.960 | 0.995 | $10.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? · No | 0.951 | 0.977 | $10.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 19? · No | 0.960 | 0.920 | $9.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will XRP dip to $1.25 on September 17? · No | 0.950 | 0.500 | $5.26 | −$4.74 |
| Will Solana reach $105 on September 17? · No | 0.960 | 0.500 | $5.21 | −$4.79 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET · Up | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET · Up | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET · Down | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET · Down | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET · Down | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.60at 0.613Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$0.50at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
- +$0.50at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
- +$0.50at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$0.50at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - August 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 17:15 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on September 19? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 16:45 | Will XRP dip to $1.25 on September 17? | BUY | 0.95 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 16:31 | Will Solana reach $105 on September 17? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 16:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 on September 17? | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 16:00 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.9509999194 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 15:46 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9399999887 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 13:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 13:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 11:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | SELL | 0.48 | $0.87 |
| 08-28 11:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 11:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | SELL | 0.6 | $2.86 |
| 08-28 11:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 08-28 11:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | SELL | 0.38 | $2.33 |
| 08-28 11:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999951 | $3.00 |
| 08-28 11:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET | SELL | 0.96 | $0.99 |