0x23bce80610d4802ac0db5d0fc1caa086f0774a09
0x23bce80610d4802ac0db5d0fc1caa086f0774a09
- Realised P&L
- $-11.26
- Volume
- $189.86
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $1.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.620 | 0.445 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.170 | $0.53 | −$0.47 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.34at 0.300US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$4.07at 0.360Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?
- +$1.94at 0.420Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.550Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $300 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.83at 0.359WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 14:15 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 00:29 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,140 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:18 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 2? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:41 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.59999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-28 19:36 | Trump renames AI by September 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:29 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.749999625 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 21:48 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 in September? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 13:48 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 15:54 | Will Costco say "Dividend" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 17:51 | Will Trump say "America First" during RNC Convention? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.29 |
| 09-08 07:32 | LAPTOP airdrop by September 9? | BUY | 0.7599999734 | $2.29 |
| 09-07 17:05 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $195 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.4699999323 | $2.29 |
| 09-03 23:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.6599999885 | $2.29 |
| 09-01 09:28 | Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ? | BUY | 0.708999969 | $2.29 |
| 08-31 21:24 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $112.50 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999349 | $2.29 |