PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

circle218

0x23bb158c4afc4cfbd7f06d856cafdf2b970d1f72

Realised P&L
$-275.02
Volume
$57.0k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$53.98

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? · No0.9900.992$21.04+$0.04
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? · No0.9960.997$13.01+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 7? · No0.9970.997$10.00+$0.00
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9810.975$9.93−$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 08:26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 7?BUY0.997$10.00
10-06 08:25Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11?BUY0.996$13.00
10-06 08:25Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11?BUY0.99$21.00
09-20 03:27Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in September?BUY0.995999922$7.00
09-20 03:26Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.98$5.00
08-02 02:59Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?BUY0.99$4.00
08-02 02:59Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.9809999961$3.00
08-02 02:59Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?BUY0.997$10.00
07-26 03:56Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 27?BUY0.996$10.00
07-05 02:43Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?BUY0.9919998909$8.00
07-05 02:42Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 6?BUY0.9869999996$10.00
06-25 08:58Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9829999998$8.00
06-25 08:57Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9739997097$3.00
06-25 08:56Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 26?BUY0.9399999906$4.00
06-08 04:50Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 25°C on June 9?BUY0.9609999998$25.00