Jeffreyfan
0x23b824765e798febf65ca05bcd42d2d9dcfb0930
- Realised P&L
- $129.26
- Volume
- $58.9k
- Markets traded
- 122
- Open portfolio
- $572.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded122
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 14? · No | 0.988 | 0.993 | $141.66 | +$0.77 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 14? · No | 0.989 | 0.985 | $138.67 | −$0.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 13? · No | 0.989 | 0.985 | $131.87 | −$0.48 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 13? · No | 0.983 | 0.977 | $74.97 | −$0.46 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 14? · No | 0.895 | 0.910 | $61.36 | +$1.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 13? · No | 0.966 | 0.947 | $23.85 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.04at 0.751Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on July 27?
- +$37.51at 0.966Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?
- +$23.85at 0.930Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on July 27?
- +$22.33at 0.955Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 30?
- +$22.26at 0.906Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.9 | $25.99 |
| 10-13 08:16 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.8914033722 | $34.36 |
| 10-13 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.99 | $109.08 |
| 10-13 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.989 | $24.74 |
| 10-13 05:46 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.982 | $23.27 |
| 10-13 05:42 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.9891885345 | $24.50 |
| 10-13 05:36 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on October 13? | BUY | 0.98 | $50.93 |
| 10-13 05:31 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.988 | $24.38 |
| 10-13 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.9560691453 | $42.17 |
| 10-13 05:23 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.989 | $9.10 |
| 10-13 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.99 | $8.31 |
| 10-13 05:13 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.99 | $16.61 |
| 10-13 05:08 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.99 | $33.21 |
| 10-13 04:58 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 20°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.9880028822 | $71.99 |
| 10-13 04:55 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 14? | BUY | 0.987584817 | $140.89 |