0x23b50652e6F832E568d2828a481675B93A185010-1768455168582
0x23b50652e6f832e568d2828a481675b93a185010
- Realised P&L
- $-148.15
- Volume
- $18.0k
- Markets traded
- 64
- Open portfolio
- $93.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded64
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? · No | 0.740 | 0.895 | $90.93 | +$15.75 |
| Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? · No | 0.840 | 0.790 | $0.94 | −$0.06 |
| Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch? · No | 0.950 | 0.877 | $0.92 | −$0.08 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.850 | 0.545 | $0.64 | −$0.36 |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron MY by VIT vs AC Esports (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular Season · Bigetron MY by VIT | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.25 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,900 by end of March? · No | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.727 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.76 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? · No | 0.940 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.500Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on February 9?
- +$5.26at 0.941Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July?
- +$4.91at 0.953Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
- +$4.35at 0.920Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
- +$3.33at 0.963Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 10:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.7399999992 | $75.18 |
| 08-26 14:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.8799999995 | $67.51 |
| 08-25 03:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | SELL | 0.554 | $70.11 |
| 08-22 01:48 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.7759999986 | $98.21 |
| 08-16 15:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? | BUY | 0.9399999988 | $125.69 |
| 07-25 09:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | BUY | 0.9789999999 | $120.00 |
| 07-25 09:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | SELL | 0.991 | $105.76 |
| 07-25 09:13 | Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.01 |
| 07-15 22:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 16? | SELL | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 07-15 22:12 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 16? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 07-04 04:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9369999981 | $100.00 |
| 06-10 11:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 05-16 12:24 | Games Total: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.019 | $4.75 |
| 05-16 12:19 | Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.994 | $0.99 |
| 05-15 15:45 | Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron MY by VIT vs AC Esports (BO3) - MPL Malaysia Regular Season | BUY | 0.001 | $2.00 |