0x23b486dec569625e52504989f7ca69f2be54f511
0x23b486dec569625e52504989f7ca69f2be54f511
- Realised P&L
- $31.17
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $12.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-10-11? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.295 | $12.97 | +$1.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$66.43at 0.606Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$57.27at 0.188Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-09-19?
- +$15.41at 0.211Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$11.53at 0.470Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$9.65at 0.312Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 16:05 | Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-10-11? | BUY | 0.2699999998 | $11.87 |
| 09-25 07:21 | Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.5199999784 | $10.57 |
| 09-25 07:11 | Will Hungary win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.4199999826 | $4.84 |
| 09-25 07:11 | Will Italy win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.4399999883 | $3.00 |
| 09-19 21:54 | Will North Carolina Courage win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.3399999813 | $2.91 |
| 09-19 20:14 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.8399999868 | $2.54 |
| 09-19 14:14 | Will SV Werder Bremen win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.1799999989 | $12.70 |
| 09-19 14:13 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.3599999917 | $13.81 |
| 09-19 12:59 | Will Newcastle United FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2299999996 | $10.50 |
| 09-17 13:08 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw? | BUY | 0.269999999 | $13.18 |
| 09-17 13:06 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.2299999993 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 13:05 | Will Celtic FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 03:57 | Will Borneo Samarinda win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.469999998 | $12.00 |
| 09-04 13:02 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-04? | BUY | 0.7299999784 | $4.05 |
| 09-04 13:02 | Will Genoa CFC vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |