SpaceAsparagus
0x23b341fcb1a3ea08459719516b0d3b47a4d7cb1b
- Realised P&L
- $-5.36
- Volume
- $124.77
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $4.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno? · Yes | 0.987 | 0.964 | $2.93 | −$0.07 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.715 | $1.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · No | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.38at 0.420Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$1.33at 0.430Will the National Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2025 Suriname election?
- +$0.75at 0.570Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?
- +$0.67at 0.600Will the Greens win 4+ seats in Australian Election?
- +$0.59at 0.630Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 11:18 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.01 |
| 10-26 08:37 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 10-26 08:36 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.649999805 | $1.00 |
| 10-25 13:46 | Will Jakub Hruška be the next Mayor of Brno? | BUY | 0.9869999977 | $3.00 |
| 10-25 13:44 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $1.00 |
| 08-20 04:39 | Will Caroline Dubé win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election? | BUY | 0.5799994896 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 16:34 | Will Count Binface get second place in the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 07:52 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.962 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 16:03 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2799998432 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 16:02 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.98 |
| 05-26 16:01 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 14:13 | Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election? | BUY | 0.6799998912 | $1.00 |
| 04-25 08:51 | Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 04-19 21:08 | Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.56 | $0.67 |
| 04-14 12:20 | Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.84 | $1.00 |