dgzdssd
0x23a9bc4ab5efdff288daafe80ea24fb77c8b8ac0
- Realised P&L
- $47.52
- Volume
- $17.2k
- Markets traded
- 70
- Open portfolio
- $594.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded70
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $20? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.995 | $443.77 | −$1.78 |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $10? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.995 | $150.25 | −$0.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.22at 0.958Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
- +$9.32at 0.946Will GPT-5.6 be released between May 25 and May 31, 2026?
- +$7.03at 0.943Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
- +$6.00at 0.983Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?
- +$5.60at 0.988SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 15:38 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $10? | BUY | 0.999 | $150.85 |
| 10-10 14:09 | Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of October 12 above $20? | BUY | 0.999 | $445.55 |
| 09-13 00:01 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $8.00-$9.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.94 |
| 09-13 00:00 | Will Netflix (NFLX) close at <$30 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 14 – Sep 18? | BUY | 0.9976652126 | $149.00 |
| 09-06 02:12 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of September 7 above $0.50? | BUY | 0.999 | $255.00 |
| 09-06 02:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $198.80 |
| 09-02 07:51 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.993 | $188.67 |
| 09-02 07:51 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.993 | $186.68 |
| 09-02 07:50 | Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $199.37 |
| 09-02 07:47 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $8.39 |
| 09-02 07:47 | Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (HIGH) $5.00 Week of August 31 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $20.93 |
| 08-03 05:53 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 3 above $1.00? | BUY | 0.999 | $169.83 |
| 08-03 05:44 | Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $45.91 |
| 08-03 05:43 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.991 | $236.85 |
| 07-26 13:08 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $197.80 |