PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x239C8CB9fB15Dc198D5418D00997E08c384D2852-1734251679152

0x239c8cb9fb15dc198d5418d00997e08c384d2852

Realised P&L
$33.23
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
190
Open portfolio
$91.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded190
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 07:18Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 October 12-18?BUY0.998$11.00
10-15 23:36Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 18?BUY0.994$28.00
10-13 01:06Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 13?BUY0.9978279599$29.00
10-11 08:22Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?BUY0.995$21.00
10-07 02:56Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 7?BUY0.9973535487$40.90
10-03 23:46Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 28-October 4?BUY0.9969999817$22.00
10-03 22:49Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?BUY0.9969999999$29.20
09-30 22:34Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?BUY0.9979999314$13.00
09-28 02:31Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 September 21-27?BUY0.995$25.00
09-26 23:20Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 September 21-27?BUY0.994$25.10
09-23 23:05Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 23?BUY0.997$20.00
09-22 12:52Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?BUY0.9939999982$28.30
09-21 05:08Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?BUY0.996$12.00
09-18 01:47Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 18?BUY0.998$40.80
09-13 13:19Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 14?BUY0.997$36.60