PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

XY100dao

0x239c2dfaf26316ce8201406b05385414123f7d7f

Realised P&L
$-142.74
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
270
Open portfolio
$30.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded270
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6100.625$10.25+$0.25
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.2700.250$9.26−$0.74
LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs · Team WE0.5200.475$4.57−$0.43
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? · No0.5000.230$2.30−$2.70
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.4300.180$2.09−$2.91
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.120$1.80−$1.20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · No0.5700.205$0.36−$0.64
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs · Invictus Gaming0.5600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET · Down0.0860.000$0.00−$2.00
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · JD Gaming0.4700.000$0.00−$5.00
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5) · JD Gaming0.4400.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00−$2.00
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Trial Group · Gen.G Global Academy0.2900.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 15:50LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.5199999792$5.00
10-13 09:00LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.2399999808$1.00
10-13 08:58LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.3599999712$1.00
10-13 08:58LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.4099998975$1.00
10-13 04:27LoL: Team WE vs FlyQuest (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.8$5.00
10-13 04:26LoL: HANJIN BRION vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.5299999587$5.00
10-12 13:32LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 4 WinnerBUY0.5$5.00
10-12 12:37LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.04$1.00
10-12 07:19LoL: KT Rolster vs Team Vitality (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.75$5.00
10-12 04:21LoL: BNK FEARX vs JD Gaming (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.6799999946$10.00
10-08 01:04LoL: Natus Vincere vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageBUY0.75$5.00
10-05 18:20LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageBUY0.5299999587$5.00
10-04 08:44LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageBUY0.8299999967$5.00
10-04 08:44LoL: GAM Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageBUY0.25$5.00
10-04 08:42LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group StageBUY0.5$5.00