PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Mac-MM-2

0x2396eaf396bf7b2e7ffd0eecdff1257f6334794a

Realised P&L
$-23.90
Volume
$11.0k
Markets traded
70
Open portfolio
$16.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded70
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration88.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Spread: Trinidad and Tobago (-4.5) · Trinidad and Tobago0.0010.449$13.29+$13.26
Will Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0010.005$1.16+$0.93
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on September 24? · Yes0.0010.005$0.58+$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 24? · Yes0.0010.001$0.16$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 23? · Yes0.0010.001$0.16$0.16
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on September 23? · Yes0.0010.001$0.14$0.14
Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · Yes0.0010.001$0.14$0.14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 24? · Yes0.0010.013$0.13+$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C or higher on September 23? · Yes0.0010.001$0.12$0.12
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on September 23? · Yes0.0010.001$0.12$0.12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on September 24? · Yes0.0010.001$0.08$0.08
Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0010.003$0.06+$0.03
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on September 24? · Yes0.0010.004$0.05+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 80-81°F on September 23? · Yes0.0010.001$0.04$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 102-103°F on September 23? · Yes0.0010.001$0.04$0.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 20:14LoL: Kawaii Kiwis vs Veni Vidi Vici (BO5) - LES Promotion PlayoffsBUY0.001$1.90
09-23 19:57Washington Nationals vs. Detroit TigersBUY0.001$1.00
08-06 16:47LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.001$1.01
08-06 15:50SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?BUY0.489999869$1.01
07-01 10:17LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.9579998151$5.13
07-01 10:14LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.0299999843$1.84
07-01 10:14LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.0215264188$1.54
07-01 10:13LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.0299999841$1.79
07-01 10:13LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.03$1.50
07-01 10:13LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.04$4.69
07-01 10:13LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.04$4.69
07-01 10:00LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.1899998912$1.17
07-01 09:53LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.8$7.76
07-01 09:53LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 3 WinnerBUY0.8$7.76
05-28 15:20Claude 4.8 released by June 15?SELL0.938$0.49