PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

-wraith-

0x238de8597e51b9821795ec9660937246c75870d8

Realised P&L
$-11.9k
Volume
$152.0k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$37.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No0.7750.939$16.6k+$2.9k
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.9100.945$12.9k+$476.00
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027? · No0.7900.974$5.7k+$1.1k
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.6930.715$2.4k+$73.50
Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · Yes0.7500.895$382.51+$61.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 18:06Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.72$1.3k
10-25 14:55Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?BUY0.862125$1.1k
10-21 18:55Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.66$990.00
10-15 01:32Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.91$2.4k
10-09 15:58Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?BUY0.75$320.53
10-09 15:41Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?BUY0.9799742178$887.91
10-09 15:26Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.91$10.0k
10-09 15:11Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.8$1.4k
10-05 15:05Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.14$2.2k
10-05 15:01Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.78383002$3.9k
09-15 18:50Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.965$525.36
08-28 18:49Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.58$6.38
08-28 18:48Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.58$1.8k
08-21 22:10Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.63$6.30
08-21 22:10Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.63$2.0k