Sefito
0x2383da2175a9a093a5981a2fa6407730b735fef0
- Realised P&L
- $-975.71
- Volume
- $78.4k
- Markets traded
- 161
- Open portfolio
- $421.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded161
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.0kat 0.492Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
- +$616.26at 0.740Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
- +$325.00at 0.350Will XRP reach $3.7 in July?
- +$272.00at 0.660Will Ethereum reach $3000 in June?
- +$244.00at 0.390Will XRP reach $3.30 in September?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 17:45 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $29.12 |
| 09-26 16:46 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.83 | $99.60 |
| 09-26 11:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-26 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.34 | $6.46 |
| 09-24 15:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26? | BUY | 0.12 | $18.00 |
| 08-20 07:27 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $208.00 |
| 08-20 07:27 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $13.43 |
| 08-20 07:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $4.16 |
| 08-12 14:44 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12? | BUY | 0.2841666667 | $3.41 |
| 08-10 10:49 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.26 | $13.00 |
| 08-09 12:14 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.33 | $9.90 |
| 08-08 17:08 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $196.00 |
| 08-08 16:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.98 | $66.64 |
| 08-08 16:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.9772 | $97.72 |
| 08-08 12:42 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.0152857143 | $0.54 |