PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Sefito

0x2383da2175a9a093a5981a2fa6407730b735fef0

Realised P&L
$-975.71
Volume
$78.4k
Markets traded
161
Open portfolio
$421.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded161
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? · No0.2600.730$319.24+$205.54
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 28? · No0.8300.855$102.60+$3.00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26? · Yes0.1200.001$0.07−$17.93
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12? · No0.1730.000$0.00−$12.02
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5200.000$0.00−$212.16
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12? · Up0.0390.000$0.00−$3.11
Will Hyperliquid reach $62 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7190.000$0.00−$287.40
Will Hyperliquid reach $38 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2460.000$0.00−$221.35
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 3? · No0.5070.000$0.00−$218.37
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET · Up0.8530.000$0.00−$100.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 10? · No0.0900.000$0.00−$19.80
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 14? · No0.1490.000$0.00−$16.80
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 7? · No0.5180.000$0.00−$259.14
Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2500.000$0.00−$125.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1400.000$0.00−$42.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-26 17:45Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26?SELL0.999$29.12
09-26 16:46Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on September 28?BUY0.83$99.60
09-26 11:00Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26?BUY0.29$1.45
09-26 06:36Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 26?BUY0.34$6.46
09-24 15:35Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 26?BUY0.12$18.00
08-20 07:27Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.52$208.00
08-20 07:27Will Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.25$13.43
08-20 07:22Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.51$4.16
08-12 14:44Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 12?BUY0.2841666667$3.41
08-10 10:49Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10?BUY0.26$13.00
08-09 12:14Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 9?BUY0.33$9.90
08-08 17:08Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8?BUY0.98$196.00
08-08 16:35Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8?BUY0.98$66.64
08-08 16:35Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 8?BUY0.9772$97.72
08-08 12:42Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 8?SELL0.0152857143$0.54