mcrstrat
0x2381d2fee1bbb3df09670bb1895127e57ad45c93
- Realised P&L
- $-52.06
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $2.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Is Earth flat? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.007 | $2.50 | −$4.99 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.24at 0.981Is Earth flat?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 07:50 | Is Earth flat? | SELL | 0.979 | $78.32 |
| 06-10 07:48 | Is Earth flat? | BUY | 0.98 | $78.40 |
| 06-09 23:47 | Is Earth flat? | BUY | 0.021 | $7.49 |
| 06-03 23:49 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $8.85 |
| 06-03 11:21 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $41.00 |