PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x2380E1093f8A50f6e946f20C8D405D39E642C4EA-1768330251438

0x2380e1093f8a50f6e946f20c8d405d39e642c4ea

Realised P&L
$22.96
Volume
$7.9k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$10.41

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.6500.645$2.98−$0.02
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2700.285$2.11+$0.11
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4590.483$2.11+$0.10
Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.0530.058$1.84+$0.14
Netanyahu drops out before election? · Yes0.0190.026$1.37+$0.37
CNN, Politico, or MS NOW unbanned from White House by September 30? · No0.2100.000$0.00−$1.05
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1460.000$0.00−$1.80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · No0.0010.000$0.00−$1.11
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.6130.000$0.00−$3.06
Will Jude Bellingham be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0590.000$0.00−$0.88
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April? · No0.1760.000$0.00−$1.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 8? · Up0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0690.000$0.00−$1.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 16:27Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$2.00
10-05 16:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?SELL0.74$3.22
10-05 02:58Netanyahu drops out before election?BUY0.019$1.00
10-05 02:51Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?BUY0.3899999426$1.70
10-05 02:42Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.844$2.95
10-05 02:29Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027?BUY0.0529999995$1.70
10-03 17:01Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4589999447$2.00
10-03 16:59Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5709999951$2.00
10-03 16:582026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.6499999458$3.00
09-28 13:20Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.37$1.85
09-28 13:17Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026?BUY0.37$1.85
09-28 13:11Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.74$3.70
09-28 13:10Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?SELL0.981$4.91
09-23 01:38Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September?BUY0.359$1.79
09-23 01:36Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?BUY0.001$1.11