0x2380E1093f8A50f6e946f20C8D405D39E642C4EA-1768330251438
0x2380e1093f8a50f6e946f20c8d405d39e642c4ea
- Realised P&L
- $22.96
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 66
- Open portfolio
- $10.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded66
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.67at 0.060Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$13.43at 0.166Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$6.75at 0.250Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$6.14at 0.232Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
- +$3.74at 0.215Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:27 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 16:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.22 |
| 10-05 02:58 | Netanyahu drops out before election? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 02:51 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.3899999426 | $1.70 |
| 10-05 02:42 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.844 | $2.95 |
| 10-05 02:29 | Will Trump create a $5,000 dividend by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.0529999995 | $1.70 |
| 10-03 17:01 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.4589999447 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 16:59 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5709999951 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 16:58 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.6499999458 | $3.00 |
| 09-28 13:20 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-28 13:17 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 09-28 13:11 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 09-28 13:10 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September? | SELL | 0.981 | $4.91 |
| 09-23 01:38 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in September? | BUY | 0.359 | $1.79 |
| 09-23 01:36 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.11 |