PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ahmeddd

0x237f50566bbc9feff17e00ac4bf7d202e16cecdd

Realised P&L
$-82.38
Volume
$14.3k
Markets traded
507
Open portfolio
$1.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded507
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5800.511$0.88−$0.12
APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0580.032$0.55−$0.45
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-09? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET · Down0.0190.000$0.00−$2.00
National Bank Open, Qualification: Leolia Jeanjean vs Lin Zhu · Lin Zhu0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.2440.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00−$2.00
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Clement Tabur · Clement Tabur0.3000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$1.60
Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Overtake (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs · Chicken Coop Esports0.5100.000$0.00−$1.39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$5.00
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Elina Svitolina · Coco Gauff0.6000.000$0.00−$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 04:21Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Overtake (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 PlayoffsBUY0.5099998496$1.39
10-14 20:56Will Real Cundinamarca win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.5$1.00
10-14 11:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETBUY0.2299999517$1.00
10-13 07:32Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-13?BUY0.25$1.00
10-13 03:04Bills vs. RamsBUY0.5699999886$1.00
10-10 07:28Shanghai Rolex Masters: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tomas EtcheverryBUY0.64$1.00
10-05 23:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETBUY0.6199998512$1.00
09-29 06:43Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?BUY0.5799999768$1.00
09-26 00:02Navy vs. UABBUY0.4099998975$1.00
09-24 03:30Houston Astros vs. Seattle MarinersBUY0.559999776$1.00
09-22 08:23Singapore Open: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sofia CostoulasBUY0.7299998102$1.00
09-21 13:40Will Xorazm Fk Urganch win on 2026-09-21?BUY0.469999906$1.00
09-21 13:37Will CA Atlanta win on 2026-09-21?BUY0.1799999856$1.00
09-10 11:19M25 Sintra: Giorgio Tabacco vs Jack AnthropBUY0.6699999196$1.00
09-04 10:43LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL PlayoffsBUY0.65$1.00